“Is Ether going to hold $2,600 tonight?”

Will Ether be at or above $2,726 by Oct 6 03:00 UTC?

The closest listed market is whether Ether is at or above $2,726 at Oct 6 03:00 UTC, which covers tonight's window but uses a higher strike than the $2,600 level you mentioned. With no listed price and ETH likely trading near that strike, it's close to a coin flip absent more info on current spot.

Claude Sonnet 5 · Oct 5, 9:34 AM UTC · cost $0.011on the ledger